An AI agent completed paid predictions, but forecast accuracy lagged
An handled a full paid for World Cup match predictions. The was to find an eligible match, make a winner and exact-score prediction, pay a 0.01 USDC entry fee from its wallet, submit the prediction, and later check the final result. As of June 27, it had made 50 valid paid predictions.
Of those, 44 had final results: 18 winner predictions were right and 26 were wrong, for a 40.9% hit rate. Six predictions were still waiting for results. Four earlier attempts were left out because the payment step did not finish.
A prediction alone did not count as completed work; identity, payment, and submission all had to succeed. The execution was stronger than the , and the made it possible to judge task , payment , and prediction quality separately.
Key points
- The handled match selection, prediction, payment, submission, and result checking.
- It made 50 valid paid predictions, with 44 settled so far.
- It got 18 winner predictions right and 26 wrong, a 40.9% hit rate.
- Four earlier attempts failed because payment was not completed.
- The helped separate payment from prediction quality.