Weather-trading AI turns $200 into $48 in one week

An system traded hourly weather outcomes on Kalshi, a , about three times an hour for roughly one week. The account balance fell from $200 to $48, a loss of $152, or 76%.

It sometimes made money overnight, but daytime trading erased those gains. No details were provided about its decision rules, , trading fees, or operating cost.

Key points

  • It traded hourly weather outcomes on Kalshi.
  • It made about three trades per hour for roughly one week.
  • The balance dropped from $200 to $48, a 76% loss.
  • Overnight gains were lost again during daytime trading.
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